Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.660665 9.886003 11.230288 12.815725 14.636113 16.662826 19.093126
2025-11-30 7.230580 8.889711 10.854247 13.356840 16.467423 20.216096 25.091173
2025-12-07 6.267219 8.121866 10.440346 13.561246 17.667989 22.908944 30.139306
2025-12-14 5.497514 7.436722 9.970718 13.539568 18.461614 25.047790 34.591158
2025-12-21 4.871403 6.837828 9.507493 13.417660 19.035143 26.868940 38.718793
2025-12-28 4.553762 6.610171 9.500776 13.888732 20.432736 29.911575 44.829677
2026-01-04 4.247613 6.356448 9.415883 14.214051 21.618552 32.723442 50.849823
2026-01-11 4.020948 6.190008 9.430702 14.670195 23.018444 35.954055 57.806128
2026-01-18 3.633210 5.737132 8.964715 14.328199 23.124566 37.163559 61.631115
2026-01-25 3.320902 5.371002 8.595366 14.094250 23.362868 38.576533 65.890405
2026-02-01 3.049891 5.045324 8.258428 13.874264 23.588900 39.965680 70.211652
2026-02-08 2.808383 4.746178 7.936830 13.644950 23.766155 41.267829 74.477759
2026-02-15 2.578479 4.450379 7.601061 13.369048 23.849629 42.435863 78.665684
2026-02-22 2.512821 4.431863 7.735739 13.929459 25.471324 46.480810 88.592923
2026-03-01 2.396574 4.313112 7.683180 14.143120 26.469867 49.465844 96.788950
2026-03-08 2.255454 4.137168 7.512652 14.120469 27.015615 51.638865 103.594749
2026-03-15 2.112486 3.945903 7.297937 13.993100 27.342602 53.409464 109.750928
2026-03-22 2.063480 3.926886 7.401044 14.485286 28.927285 57.786139 121.736261
2026-03-29 1.997822 3.870236 7.427086 14.825205 30.231379 61.707769 133.152959
2026-04-05 1.952141 3.848637 7.518250 15.301846 31.855443 66.428023 146.793992
2026-04-12 1.816074 3.636452 7.216844 14.944480 31.689704 67.354663 152.043935
2026-04-19 1.702960 3.462397 6.978983 14.700026 31.742695 68.750386 158.498592
2026-04-26 1.600057 3.301823 6.756760 14.470169 31.805594 70.167898 165.140499